Mathematics · Explorer

1/4
ProbabilityRunning
Chance spinner. Winning tickets at 27.6 . Actual probability 0.69 , Promised probability 0.35 . Currently actual probability is over by 0.34.TUNING27.6WINNING SHARE 0.69
t = 0.0s

Actual probability

0.69

Promised probability

0.35

27.6

Chance spinner. Winning tickets at 27.6 . Actual probability 0.69 , Promised probability 0.35 . Currently actual probability is over by 0.34.

What has to balanceP(A)=favourabletotalP(A) = \frac{favourable}{total}

What is happening

You are called to a raffle for a community solar panel with a promised win rate.

The organisers cannot honour what they promised. 40 tickets are in the drum, they promised a 0.35 chance of drawing a winner, and the winning ticket count is wrong.